The Old Farmer's Almanac's new long-range forecast predicts a white Christmas in 2026 in the Northeast, Intermountain region and Alaska. Several other regions have a chance, while many southern areas and Hawaii are expected to miss out. A white Christmas means at least one inch of snow on the ground.
The Old Farmer's Almanac's new long-range forecast predicts a white Christmas in 2026 in the Northeast, Intermountain region, and Alaska. The Almanac gives the Pacific Northwest, High Plains, Lower Lakes, and Ohio Valley a chance of a white Christmas. For the Appalachians, it forecasts no white Christmas in the north and a chance of one in the south.
The Almanac does not expect a white Christmas in the Atlantic Corridor, the Southeast, Florida, the Deep South, the Upper Midwest, Heartland, Texas-Oklahoma, the Desert Southwest, and the Pacific Southwest. Hawaii is also forecast to miss out.
The Almanac also released a 2026 white Christmas forecast that includes winter weather predictions for December 25 across Canada. Snow is forecast to be on the ground across Yukon, the Northwest Territories and Nunavut on that date.
A traditional white Christmas is generally defined as having at least one inch of snow on the ground on December 25. According to the U.S. National Weather Service, that is about two centimetres, and it does not have to be snowing. NOAA's historical White Christmas probability map uses climate data from 1991 to 2020, and those are long-term averages rather than predictions for Christmas 2026.
Thanksgiving 2026 falls on Nov. 26, one of the latest dates on which the holiday can fall.
